We studied the leather, the Taiwan trips, the anime replies, the marriages and the autographs. Our model now speaks with total confidence and no accountability, just like the people it measures.
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Leather signals approachability at conferences, and approachability is the whole attack surface. Forty appearances maxes the factor. Weighted 25%.
Night markets, supply chain dinners, adoring crowds. Twelve visits maxes the factor. Living there counts as all of them. Weighted 30%.
Replies to anime-avatar accounts with fewer than 400 followers. A honeytrap's cheapest disguise is a waifu and a burner account. Weighted 45%.
The bigger the gap, the less likely the honeytrap. The model assumes the spouse is already supervising. Each year of gap cuts risk by 2%, up to half. Gaps come from public birth years and reported ages. Where a spouse's age isn't public, it scores neutral.
A yes adds 40 points. One CEO has a documented yes, from Computex 2024 in Taipei. Everyone else is a no.
Publicly out CEOs get a 55% discount, since the classic honeytrap is not built for them. OpenAI's board knew what it was doing all along. We only count what CEOs have said publicly.